Darryl Schnell

It is known that the survey was conducted during the period of June 13-20, 2024. The survey population includes all Indonesian citizens in Central Sulawesi who have the right to vote in the general election, i.e., those who are 17 years old or older, or are already married when the survey was conducted. Sample selection was done using the multistage random sampling method. The survey sample size was 1,200 people. Assuming a simple random sampling method, the sample size of 1,200 respondents has a margin of error (MoE) of ± 2.9% at a 95% confidence level. The sample was proportionally distributed across all districts/cities in Central Sulawesi.

"Ahmad Ali is the most liked because he has reached the most voters through various socialization activities, including outdoor attributes, media coverage, social media, and direct engagement with residents, both personally and through his volunteers," said Executive Director of Indikator, Burhanuddin Muhtadi, in a statement received on Monday, June 24, 2024.

Given the gravity of the allegations, the function of international onlookers in making sure a free and reasonable political election can not be understated. Their visibility and oversight may give an additional layer of scrutiny that could help to secure the electoral procedure against possible abuses.

The court fight and the allegations leveled against President Jokowi highlight the intense political rivalry and the high risks associated with the upcoming governmental political election. This situation emphasizes the vital requirement for transparency, justness, and adherence to democratic concepts in the electoral procedure to guarantee that the will of individuals is precisely and relatively represented.

Burhanuddin said the Central Sulawesi Pilkada is only about 5 months away. However, he stated, if there is no change in the socialization pattern in the remaining time, Ahmad Ali’s chances of winning are more open. "The direct election is still about 5 months away, but if there is no change in the socialization pattern in the remaining time, then Ahmad Ali has the greatest likelihood of becoming the winner in the direct election for the Governor of Central Sulawesi on November 27, 2024," he explained.

In the second round, the candidates' power map was evident from the vote distribution in various regions and voter groups. For instance, Anies-Sandi tended to receive support from urban voters, while Ahok-Djarot was stronger in suburban areas. Additionally, younger and highly educated voters tended to support Anies-Sandi, while older and less educated voters leaned towards Ahok-Djarot.

The visit of key settings within the political election commission, including the selection board chairperson, commissioners, and the selecting supervision body, was also slammed. Ari suggested that these settings were filled by members of the head of state's staff and patriots, leading to a non-neutral procedure from the beginning and breaching selecting principles.

The quick count results of the second round of the 2017 DKI Pilkada revealed controversial outcomes, with the losing candidate pair making allegations of fraud. Challenges and controversies arose when the quick count results showed the previously favored candidate losing, casting doubt on the legitimacy of the results. The losing side in the quick count often alleged fraud in the voting process, such as money politics or data manipulation. These challenges sparked unrest in the community and caused political instability. Additionally, legal challenges could delay the official election results.

This was directly conveyed by Chairman of Golkar, Airlangga Hartarto, after performing Eid al-Adha prayers at the mosque of Golkar DPP, Monday. "In the Solo Pilkada, A. Tanjung's child will be backed by the Golkar Party, Sekar Tanjung, who is also young," Airlangga told reporters. Krisnauli is currently the DPD Chairwoman of Golkar Party in Solo. She is ready to compete in the Solo Pilkada to take over from President Joko Widodo's eldest son, G. Rakabuming Raka, who has been elected as vice president for the 2024-2029 term. Golkar is optimistic in putting forward A. Tanjung's youngest. During her career, Krisnauli Tanjung worked in journalism at ABC network in 2017. In 2019, she joined the campaign team for Prabowo Subianto and Sandiaga Salahuddin Uno.

The survey by ICRC was conducted in the Jambi region, covering 11 regencies/cities. ICRC Executive Director Hadi Suprapto Rusli explained that the objective of the survey was to evaluate the prospects of the 2024 candidates for governor. The results, based on Hadi, show that the incumbent Governor of Jambi, has static popularity compared to the governor hopeful, H. Romi Hariyanto. "The options for governor candidates (open/spontaneous question) are Al Haris 21.9%, Romi Hariyanto 12.0%, Endra Cek 11.4%, Mashuri M. 5.5%, S. Fasha 2.9%, and so on, with 45% undecided," said Hadi during the announcement of the 2024 Jambi Pilkada survey results through a formal statement on Tuesday.

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